This is a list of things that I consider certainties.

  • Music will be free to download and listen.  Of all the media, music has the easiest way to transition to the digital landscape. Money from live performances, endorsement and general fame.
  • Textbooks are gone. Trashy paperbacks will probably still be around.
  • Broadcast TV will effectively cease to exist for all but live events.  All other visual content will be streamed on demand.
  • AirBnB is going to morph into every other accommodation brokering site. They will deal with their first tenant/host murder in the coming few years.
  • The internet is going to pose a serious threat to the established political system. Politicians whose livelihoods and power are threatened by this will act in their self-interest, but disguised as the national interest.